Mattel Inc MAT StarRatingValueLabel_4Jaime M. Katz, CFA - Senior Analyst - Morningstar Inc.

Last Price
18.05
Day Change
-0.13|-0.69%

As of 19/04/2024
15:59:38 EDT | USD  Minimum 15 Minutes Delay.

Bid/OfferDay RangeVolume90d Ave VolMkt Cap
18.04 - 18.0517.99 - 18.251,517,4403,046,4696.25Bil
Last Close52 Week RangeP/EYield %ISIN
18.1716.20 - 22.6430.30-US5770811025

Mattel Inc Share Price

Morningstar's Take MAT

Mattel continues to harvest gains from its turnaround, delivering above break-even operating margins starting in 2019 and reaching around 12% in 2023. Despite the expectation of little sales growth, we expect Mattel to produce operating margin expansion in 2024, thanks to its newly launched $200 million cost-saving program. Additionally, the firm's shift to a capital-light strategy has provided lower capital and operating expenditures than in the past (supporting profit growth while allowing for investment in product innovation), but profits could be hurt by tactical investments in dolls and vehicles as well as logistics and input cost inflation.

Fair Value Estimate

25.00 USD

Uncertainty

Average

Economic Moat

Narrow

Financial Strength

Financial Strength
There is no one analyst in which a Quantitative Fair Value Estimate is attributed to; however, Mr. Lee Davidson, Head of Quantitative Research for Morningstar, Inc., is responsible for overseeing the methodology that supports the quantitative fair value. As an employee of Morningstar, Inc., Mr. Davidson is guided by Morningstar, Inc.’s Code of Ethics and Personal Securities Trading Policy in carrying out his responsibilities. For information regarding Conflicts of Interests, click here.
Jaime M. Katz, CFA - Senior Analyst - Morningstar Inc.
The conduct of Morningstar's analysts is governed by Morningstar's Code of Ethics, Securities Trading and Disclosure Policy, and Investment Research Integrity Policy. For information regarding conflicts of interest, please click here.
Fair Value is derived from a detailed projection of a company’s future cash flows. Analysts create custom industry and company assumptions to feed income statement, balance sheet, and capital investment assumptions into a proprietary discounted cash flow modeling template. Scenario analysis, in-depth competitive advantage analysis, and a variety of other analytical tools are used to augment the discounted cash flow process. Combining analysts’ financial forecasts with the firm’s economic moat helps us assess how long returns on invested capital are likely to exceed the firm’s cost of capital. Because we are modeling free cash flow to the firm—representing cash available to provide a return to all capital providers—we discount future cash flows using the weighted average of the costs of equity, debt, and preferred stock (and any other funding sources), using expected future proportionate long-term, market-value weights. If our base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on our fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. Investments in securities are subject to market and other risks. Past performance of a security may or may not be sustained in future and is no indication of future performance. For detail information about the Qualitative Fair Value, please click here.
Financials
202120222023
more...
Income Statement
Revenue5,457.745,434.695,441.22
Operating Income729.56675.52561.66
Net Income902.99393.91214.35
Basic EPS2.581.110.61
Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding357360357
Balance Sheet
Current Assets2,874.532,729.043,122.35
Non Current Assets3,519.373,448.633,313.48
Total Assets6,393.896,177.666,435.82
Current Liabilities1,598.251,187.751,342.48
Total Liabilities---
Total Equity1,568.852,056.272,149.21
Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow485.46442.84869.79
Capital Expenditure-151.35-186.50-160.30
Free Cash Flow334.11256.34709.49

In millions, except "Basic EPS". Currency is USD.

Company Profile

Mattel markets toy products that are sold to its wholesale customers and direct to retail consumers. The company offers products for children and families, including toys for infants and preschoolers, girls and boys, youth electronics, hand-held and other games, puzzles, educational toys, media-driven products, and plush and fashion-related toys. Mattel's owned portfolio includes Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, Thomas & Friends, and American Girl. In addition, it currently manufactures toy products for its segments both internally and externally (through manufacturing partners). More than 50% of its net sales are generated from North America, with the remainder stemming from international markets.

Sector

Consumer Cyclical

Industry

Leisure

Stock Style

Small-Blend

Fiscal Year Ends

December

Employees

33,000
Key Stats
more...
Price/Earning TTM29.79
Price/Book2.91
Price/Sales TTM1.19
Rev Growth (3 year avg)5.88
EPS Growth (3 year avg)-
Operating Margin % TTM10.32
Net Margin % TTM3.94
ROE TTM10.19
Debt/Equity1.20
Dividends
PreviousLatest
Declared Date22/04/1707/08/17
Ex-Div17/05/1721/08/17
Paid09/06/1715/09/17
Amnt0.380.15
Jaime M. Katz, CFA - Senior Analyst - Morningstar Inc.
The conduct of Morningstar's analysts is governed by Morningstar's Code of Ethics, Securities Trading and Disclosure Policy, and Investment Research Integrity Policy. For information regarding conflicts of interest, please click here.
Fair Value is derived from a detailed projection of a company’s future cash flows. Analysts create custom industry and company assumptions to feed income statement, balance sheet, and capital investment assumptions into a proprietary discounted cash flow modeling template. Scenario analysis, in-depth competitive advantage analysis, and a variety of other analytical tools are used to augment the discounted cash flow process. Combining analysts’ financial forecasts with the firm’s economic moat helps us assess how long returns on invested capital are likely to exceed the firm’s cost of capital. Because we are modeling free cash flow to the firm—representing cash available to provide a return to all capital providers—we discount future cash flows using the weighted average of the costs of equity, debt, and preferred stock (and any other funding sources), using expected future proportionate long-term, market-value weights. If our base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on our fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. Investments in securities are subject to market and other risks. Past performance of a security may or may not be sustained in future and is no indication of future performance. For detail information about the Qualitative Fair Value, please click here.
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