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Analyse: UBS ETF MSCI Japan

Der letzte "Pfeil" muss sitzen! Die geldpolitischen Maßnahmen der Bank of Japan haben am Aktienmarkt gezündet; Investoren hoffen nun auf Reformen der Regierung in Tokio für den Kursschub 2014.

Rolle im Portfolio

The UBS MSCI Japan ETF provides equity exposure to one of the biggest economies on the globe and could therefore be considered for use as a core component of a well diversified portfolio to gain exposure to the world’s third-largest economy. However, before considering an investment in this ETF--either as core building block or a tactical tool--investors should be aware of existing exposure to Japan through other holdings (for example, Japanese equities comprise nearly 10% of the MSCI World Index) to avoid unintentionally overweighting Japanese shares.

Taking a close look at the track record of the Japanese stock market over the last 20 years, one might wonder whether owning Japanese equities as part of a buy-and-hold strategy would be of any benefit. The MSCI Japan Index returned about 3% of its value over that period, compared to a 222% increase in the MSCI World Index. After the Japanese real estate and stock market meltdown in the 1990s, the Central Bank hesitated to intervene. By the time the Central Bank made a concentrated effort to stimulate the economy, flooding the market with trillions of yen and decreasing interest rates, the economy was already in a deflationary spiral and consumers had lost faith. Low interest rates from there on made the Yen an attractive target for carry traders, helping to strengthen the currency and ultimately hurting exports. However, the stock market rallied since November 2012 while the Yen weakened on the back of a new approach by newly selected Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.

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Über den Autor

Gordon Rose, CIIA, CAIA,

Gordon Rose, CIIA, CAIA,  ist Fondsanalyst bei Morningstar.

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